Forecast

Where

Main Menu / Execution / Forecast / Forecast - 25 Year

On-Off Menu Location

What

Ansergy's forecast is based on a production-cost model where several different inputs estimate the demand for a given traded area. This report offers a graphical interface as well as a table view of the forecasted data.

On-Off Chart detail

Table Filters

Views

Hub

• This view places hubs across columns, allowing the user to compare items by hub

Item

• Items are placed across columns while hubs are entered in the row field

Period

• Use this view to see how items are forecasted to change by period (Hourly, Daily, Weekly, Monthly, or Quarterly). All hubs are shown by default; use the Filter Columns button to narrow your hub selection

Hour Type

• Compare On Peak (HL), Off Peak (LL), and Flat (FL) hours by hub, item, and period

MRI - Market Richness Index

MRI is a computed value based upon multiple factors involving the relationship between the market and forecasts, the market against itself, and the market against historical spot settles. For a more detail explanation click here.

How Trade Rank is Used

TradeRank can act as a second opinion on a derivative either for hedging our speculating. MRI has been backcasted and proven to call direction correctly over 60% of the time. The metric is especially useful in comparing one derivative against another. For example, when comparing a buy for June or one in May, you can run rolls and see how each period has performed, relative to the forecast and to past market prices, thereby adding further insight into the relative value of each.

Related Reports

• Forecasts
  • 25 Year
  • 5 Minute
  • Scenarios - 1 Year
• TradeRank
  • Outrights
  • Spreads
  • Rolls
  • OnOff
  • Expired Periods
  • TradeRank Alerts
• Term Market Change
• Market vs Spot
• Heat Rate & Basis
• Stack Charts
  • Stack Detail

==