Difference between revisions of "Forecast"
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| − | + | Ansergy's forecast is based on a production-cost model where several different inputs estimate the demand for a given traded area. This report offers a graphical interface as well as a table view of the forecasted data. | |
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| − | == | + | == Table Filters == |
| − | * | + | === Views === |
| − | * | + | |
| − | * | + | ==== Hub ==== |
| − | * On Off ( | + | |
| + | * This view places hubs across columns, allowing the user to compare items by hub | ||
| + | |||
| + | ==== Item ==== | ||
| + | |||
| + | * Items are placed across columns while hubs are entered in the row field | ||
| + | |||
| + | ==== Period ==== | ||
| + | |||
| + | * Use this view to see how items are forecasted to change by period (Hourly, Daily, Weekly, Monthly, or Quarterly). All hubs are shown by default; use the Filter Columns button to narrow your hub selection | ||
| + | |||
| + | ==== Hour Type ==== | ||
| + | |||
| + | * Compare On Peak (HL), Off Peak (LL), and Flat (FL) hours by hub, item, and period | ||
== MRI - Market Richness Index == | == MRI - Market Richness Index == | ||
Revision as of 12:58, 11 May 2021
Where
Main Menu / Execution / Forecast / Forecast - 25 Year
What
Ansergy's forecast is based on a production-cost model where several different inputs estimate the demand for a given traded area. This report offers a graphical interface as well as a table view of the forecasted data.
Table Filters
Views
Hub
- This view places hubs across columns, allowing the user to compare items by hub
Item
- Items are placed across columns while hubs are entered in the row field
Period
- Use this view to see how items are forecasted to change by period (Hourly, Daily, Weekly, Monthly, or Quarterly). All hubs are shown by default; use the Filter Columns button to narrow your hub selection
Hour Type
- Compare On Peak (HL), Off Peak (LL), and Flat (FL) hours by hub, item, and period
MRI - Market Richness Index
MRI is a computed value based upon multiple factors involving the relationship between the market and forecasts, the market against itself, and the market against historical spot settles. For a more detail explanation click here.
How Trade Rank is Used
TradeRank can act as a second opinion on a derivative either for hedging our speculating. MRI has been backcasted and proven to call direction correctly over 60% of the time. The metric is especially useful in comparing one derivative against another. For example, when comparing a buy for June or one in May, you can run rolls and see how each period has performed, relative to the forecast and to past market prices, thereby adding further insight into the relative value of each.
Related Reports
- Forecasts
- 25 Year
- 5 Minute
- Scenarios - 1 Year
- TradeRank
- Outrights
- Spreads
- Rolls
- OnOff
- Expired Periods
- TradeRank Alerts
- Term Market Change
- Market vs Spot
- Heat Rate & Basis
- Stack Charts
- Stack Detail
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